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Red31
20420.9
10423.0
Blue47
81621.4
10216.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504401001502002503003147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104
Unranked
23.01.4
30.629.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
816
Unranked
21.40.8
22.823.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
20.90.8
19.819.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
102
Unranked
16.31.4
21.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End