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Red55
65133.5
4877.4
Blue30
70913.6
39823.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353802060801001205530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
33.51.1
30.431.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
398
Unranked
23.61.1
23.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
487
Unranked
7.41.1
4.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
709
Unranked
13.61.8
14.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End