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Red140
32238.6
3520.2
Blue11
11997.6
2883.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4334010015020025030014011

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
38.67.5
24.331.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.0
1199
Unranked
7.67.5
21.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35
Unranked
20.27.5
18.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
288
Unranked
3.87.5
12.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End