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Red6
4510.4
96417.5
Blue10
11915.8
51918.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3430050100150200250300350610

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
964
Unranked
17.50.4
17.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
519
Unranked
18.90.5
20.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
Unranked
10.40.4
16.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1191
Unranked
5.80.5
10.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End