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Red65
11997.6
2768.2
Blue121
12823.8
120017.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2131040608010012065121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
276
Unranked
8.22.1
7.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
128
Unranked
23.82.9
17.820.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1199
Unranked
7.62.9
14.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
1200
Unranked
17.22.9
12.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End