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Red116
32238.6
121836.0
Blue3
1587.6
37916.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534201001502002503001163

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
38.66.4
31.838.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
379
Unranked
16.04.7
22.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
Unranked
36.06.4
21.027.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
158
Unranked
7.66.4
19.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End