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Red79
111418.8
28419.3
Blue12
51918.9
90313.6
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304302060801001207912

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
284
Unranked
19.34.7
13.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
519
Unranked
18.94.7
23.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1114
Unranked
18.84.7
16.321.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
903
Unranked
13.64.7
19.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End