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Red30
4510.4
27414.5
Blue130
120222.5
29124.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334602040608010012030130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
274
Unranked
14.53.3
18.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
291
Unranked
24.23.3
22.625.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
Unranked
10.43.3
14.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
1202
Unranked
22.55.1
23.328.4
Auto
Teleop
End