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Red48
512.7
96417.5
Blue43
4911.3
81618.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27310204060804843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
964
Unranked
17.50.3
17.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
816
Unranked
18.40.4
18.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5
Unranked
12.70.4
9.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
49
Unranked
11.30.4
11.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End