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Red38
37916.0
44831.1
Blue12
118520.0
12823.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4547204060803812

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
448
Unranked
31.11.0
30.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
128
Unranked
23.81.4
25.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
16.01.0
14.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1185
Unranked
20.01.4
21.420.0
Auto
Teleop
End