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Red68
48131.8
66230.5
Blue9
95017.1
11417.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533402080100120140160689

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
481
Unranked
31.81.8
29.831.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
114
Unranked
17.52.0
12.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
662
Unranked
30.51.8
23.525.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
950
Unranked
17.11.8
22.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End