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Red40
114720.7
107215.7
Blue57
95325.4
11531.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3660020801001201404057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1147
Unranked
20.70.3
23.323.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
115
Unranked
31.30.3
34.834.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
Unranked
15.70.3
13.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
953
Unranked
25.40.3
25.425.1
Auto
Teleop
End