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Red20
95017.1
11531.3
Blue72
66230.5
95325.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555102040801001202072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
31.32.3
34.532.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
662
Unranked
30.52.3
25.427.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
950
Unranked
17.12.3
20.318.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
953
Unranked
25.42.3
25.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End