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Red4
96125.1
59932.6
Blue62
107215.7
97132.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67460206080100120140462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
Unranked
32.63.3
37.834.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
971
Unranked
32.23.3
32.135.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
961
Unranked
25.13.3
29.025.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1072
Unranked
15.73.3
13.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End