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Red78
19236.3
112031.4
Blue4
97220.1
10021.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4548020406080784

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
Unranked
36.32.8
24.927.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
100
Unranked
21.42.8
26.423.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1120
Unranked
31.44.6
21.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
972
Unranked
20.14.6
20.115.5
Auto
Teleop
End