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Red53
3743.8
85235.4
Blue74
11533.8
60416.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324901001505374

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
Unranked
35.40.3
21.621.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
115
Unranked
33.80.2
30.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
374
Unranked
3.80.3
10.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
604
Unranked
16.40.3
18.118.4
Auto
Teleop
End