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Red46
60515.5
25435.7
Blue41
64913.9
97127.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384702060801001201401604641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
35.70.5
33.534.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
971
Unranked
27.60.5
33.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
605
Unranked
15.50.9
4.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
649
Unranked
13.90.9
13.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End