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Red88
85235.4
19236.3
Blue8
25825.0
11419.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52480100150200250300350888

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
Unranked
36.32.8
29.332.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
258
Unranked
25.04.7
28.423.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
852
Unranked
35.44.7
22.627.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
114
Unranked
19.22.8
19.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End