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Red100
84021.8
827.1
Blue41
69220.4
8146.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437010015020025010041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
Unranked
27.13.2
18.421.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
692
Unranked
20.41.9
22.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
840
Unranked
21.83.2
25.328.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
814
Unranked
6.01.9
13.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End