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Red38
60515.5
11419.2
Blue30
104513.3
107217.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2238060801001201401603830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
Unranked
19.20.9
16.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1072
Unranked
17.60.9
17.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
605
Unranked
15.51.5
5.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1045
Unranked
13.31.5
20.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End