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Red39
64913.9
60515.5
Blue9
409-0.0
97127.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2138050100150399

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
605
Unranked
15.53.0
7.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
971
Unranked
27.61.8
32.430.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
649
Unranked
13.93.0
13.616.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
409
Unranked
-0.03.0
5.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End