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Red9
83123.2
112031.4
Blue36
35934.4
827.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4649020406080100120936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1120
Unranked
31.41.5
24.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
359
Unranked
34.41.5
27.428.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
831
Unranked
23.21.5
21.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
8
Unranked
27.11.5
21.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End