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Red16
2562.4
36836.4
Blue106
85235.4
112031.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4253010015016106

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
Unranked
36.44.6
38.133.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
852
Unranked
35.44.6
26.030.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
256
Unranked
2.43.0
3.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.9
1120
Unranked
31.44.6
27.231.8
Auto
Teleop
End