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Red16
64913.9
104323.2
Blue61
84634.1
84118.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4454020801001201401661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1043
Unranked
23.22.0
25.623.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
846
Unranked
34.12.0
33.335.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
649
Unranked
13.92.0
17.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
841
Unranked
18.91.3
20.922.1
Auto
Teleop
End