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Red43
9432.6
49918.4
Blue68
12015.0
4186.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422702060801001201404368

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
499
Unranked
18.42.5
19.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
418
Unranked
6.62.5
14.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
943
Unranked
2.62.5
23.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1201
Unranked
5.02.5
13.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End