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Red5
6532.7
120514.5
Blue9
6607.7
44633.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4627010015059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1205
Unranked
14.51.4
23.321.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
446
Unranked
33.11.4
15.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
Unranked
2.71.4
22.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
660
Unranked
7.71.4
12.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End