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Red5
116210.6
11840.6
Blue45
110835.2
121417.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4545020406080545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
40.62.2
23.921.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1108
Unranked
35.22.2
23.325.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1162
Unranked
10.62.2
18.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1214
Unranked
17.62.2
23.625.9
Auto
Teleop
End