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Red94
6607.7
3432.2
Blue30
12352.3
43715.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4121060801001201401609430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
32.21.7
29.130.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
437
Unranked
15.22.8
12.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
660
Unranked
7.72.8
11.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1235
Unranked
2.32.8
9.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End