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Red70
23126.6
49918.4
Blue13
62422.4
120514.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33340204060801001207013

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
26.63.6
17.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
624
Unranked
22.42.2
14.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
499
Unranked
18.43.6
15.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1205
Unranked
14.53.6
18.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End