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Red120
62335.9
61617.5
Blue12
9262.8
10542.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312505010015020025030035012012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
Unranked
35.96.4
25.631.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.9
1054
Unranked
2.96.4
14.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
616
Unranked
17.56.4
5.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
926
Unranked
2.86.4
10.13.7
Auto
Teleop
End