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Red40
40114.9
28125.7
Blue7
12218.6
10960.9
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41340100150200250300407

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
25.71.6
30.532.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
122
Unranked
18.61.6
20.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
401
Unranked
14.91.6
10.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
1096
Unranked
0.91.6
13.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End