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Red77
40114.9
62020.8
Blue67
12218.6
76917.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373002060801001201401607767

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
Unranked
20.80.2
20.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
122
Unranked
18.60.2
15.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
401
Unranked
14.90.2
16.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
769
Unranked
17.60.2
14.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End