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Red76
22319.8
39517.3
Blue37
61617.5
97617.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362902060801001201401607637

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
Unranked
19.82.0
18.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
976
Unranked
17.72.0
14.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
395
Unranked
17.32.0
17.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
616
Unranked
17.52.0
15.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End