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Red40
94825.1
94921.5
Blue150
105614.7
44330.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503302040608010012014040150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
Unranked
25.17.9
19.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
443
Unranked
30.47.9
17.925.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
949
Unranked
21.57.9
30.222.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1056
Unranked
14.77.9
14.722.7
Auto
Teleop
End