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Red21
82410.0
115722.0
Blue10
84721.6
11909.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29280102040506070802110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1157
Unranked
22.00.8
10.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
847
Unranked
21.60.8
17.917.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
824
Unranked
10.00.8
16.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1190
Unranked
9.00.8
11.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End