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Red20
96620.4
23136.9
Blue75
37847.3
103725.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516801001502002503002075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
Unranked
36.92.7
31.128.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
378
Unranked
47.30.8
45.045.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
966
Unranked
20.43.0
21.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1037
Unranked
25.40.6
21.522.2
Auto
Teleop
End