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Red125
14734.0
12238.3
Blue20
90018.0
53835.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5653020408010012014012520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
38.35.2
26.631.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
538
Unranked
35.02.7
32.329.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
147
Unranked
34.05.2
28.733.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
900
Unranked
18.03.0
20.717.7
Auto
Teleop
End