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Red20
136924.7
25038.1
Blue75
31137.9
38626.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588201001502002502075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
Unranked
38.13.0
43.240.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
311
Unranked
37.90.3
47.246.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1369
Unranked
24.73.4
17.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
386
Unranked
26.70.3
32.332.0
Auto
Teleop
End