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Red20
14569.4
58525.7
Blue10
89815.6
140115.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333002060801001201401602010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
Unranked
25.71.6
19.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
898
Unranked
15.62.5
14.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1456
Unranked
9.41.6
13.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
1401
Unranked
15.22.5
15.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End