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Red100
98042.2
8028.7
Blue25
29415.5
99816.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3437020608010012014016010025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
42.28.2
17.826.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.7
998
Unranked
16.51.4
20.118.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
80
Unranked
28.78.2
16.224.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
294
Unranked
15.51.4
16.114.7
Auto
Teleop
End