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Red20
99816.5
89815.6
Blue15
140115.2
29415.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403702060801001201402015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
998
Unranked
16.52.5
22.620.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
294
Unranked
15.52.8
18.916.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
898
Unranked
15.62.5
17.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1401
Unranked
15.20.2
15.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End