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Red25
58525.7
98042.2
Blue0
8028.7
14569.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42390206080100120140250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
Unranked
42.22.0
19.917.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
80
Unranked
28.74.9
21.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
585
Unranked
25.72.0
21.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
1456
Unranked
9.43.9
9.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End