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Red25
126645.0
69631.0
39926.3
Blue90
59935.6
98738.4
97423.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113100501502002590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1266
Unranked
45.03.3
48.445.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
987
Unranked
38.40.4
39.939.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
696
Unranked
31.02.2
33.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
599
Unranked
35.60.3
36.536.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
399
Unranked
26.33.3
29.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
974
Unranked
23.40.4
24.824.4
Auto
Teleop
End