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Red25
99134.2
96844.8
85120.5
Blue75
119730.1
33038.6
2221.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116970501502002502575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
44.83.5
50.447.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
330
Unranked
38.60.6
41.140.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
991
Unranked
34.22.2
37.935.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1197
Unranked
30.10.9
33.632.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
851
Unranked
20.53.5
26.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
22
Unranked
21.00.9
24.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End