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Red130
98232.0
87740.5
Blue30
7922.7
132429.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59420208010012014013030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
Unranked
40.59.0
34.343.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
1324
Unranked
29.91.2
24.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
982
Unranked
32.09.0
23.332.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
79
Unranked
22.71.0
19.118.1
Auto
Teleop
End