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Red70
6065.8
142612.1
Blue20
137516.6
133815.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77290501001502007020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
Unranked
65.80.2
56.356.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 49.2
1375
Unranked
16.61.8
15.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1426
Unranked
12.10.3
15.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1338
Unranked
15.31.8
19.017.2
Auto
Teleop
End