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Red40
57150.8
149315.8
Blue20
99912.2
22818.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584001001502004020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
Unranked
50.81.6
32.731.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.1
228
Unranked
18.72.1
31.629.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1493
Unranked
15.81.9
22.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
999
Unranked
12.22.7
9.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End