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Red60
78244.6
83927.8
Blue20
90519.4
9626.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594101001502006020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
782
Unranked
44.60.4
29.029.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
96
Unranked
26.82.9
21.618.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
839
Unranked
27.80.3
27.628.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
905
Unranked
19.42.9
21.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End