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Red100
99912.2
52145.7
Blue45
17716.9
90519.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4331020608010012014016010045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
521
Unranked
45.76.8
34.241.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
905
Unranked
19.41.6
18.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
12.27.3
7.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
177
Unranked
16.91.5
14.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End