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Red180
12661.2
12153.1
Blue120
71648.5
23032.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111550150200250300180120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
61.25.6
55.961.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
716
Unranked
48.54.4
41.946.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
121
Unranked
53.15.6
49.354.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
230
Unranked
32.46.8
19.526.3
Auto
Teleop
End